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UNTAET head Sergio Vieira de Mello says he has had to beg for adequate resources to investigate Indonesia’s crimes, which leaves many wondeirng whether the suffering visited on the East Timorese weighs heavily enough on the world's collective conscience to force the hand of an international tribunal. The forensic and serious crimes units, "are minimal compared to what we had in Bosnia, Kosovo, and Rwanda," says de Mello. Put differently, 800,000 dead in Rwanda or the geo-political importance of the Balkans compels the UN to action, while 1,100 dead on a distant island are more easily ignored.

Since East Timor’s independence, Indonesia has democratically elected its first president in over 40 years, the reformist Muslim scholar Abdurrahman Wahid. He has struggled to remove the Indonesian military from politics, and was hoping to use East Timor prosecutions against his military opponents when he came to power. But this agenda has been complicated by the fact that most Indonesians view the independence of East Timor as a national humiliation. Newspaper editorials reflect a widely-held belief that the leading militia leader, Eurico Guterres, and his like are "national heroes" who risked their lives fighting for their country. Indonesian Vice-President Megawati Sukarnoputri, unarguably the most popular politician in the country and the one who holds Wahid’s political fate in her hand, named Guterres the head of her political party’s student wing. Further, Indonesian human rights experts widely expect Sukarnoputri — as the forgone successor to the presidency — to halt any progress towards East Timor prosecutions when she assumes power. As Wahid’s health and his authority throughout the archipelago declines, it becomes increasingly obvious that he is struggling against formidable political factions opposed to his push for accountability.

In this contentious context, there is considerable uncertainty regarding the Indonesian government’s willingness and ability to prosecute those responsible for the atrocities in East Timor. Recent months have shown strong indications that the government is more interested in appearance than action. After an evidence-gathering trip to East Timor, the Indonesian Attorney General’s office released a list of 22 suspects, including head militia leader Guterres. Former Armed Forces Commander General Wiranto, who enjoyed a very close relationship with former dictator Suharto, was found "morally responsible" for the events in East Timor by a government commissioned human rights inquiry. In spite of this, however, Wiranto was not included on the list of war crimes suspects. In what seems to be a horribly misconstrued attempt to demonstrate its commitment to prosecution, the Indonesian government has put Guterres on trial, not for any crimes committed in East Timor, but on a weapons charge stemming from an incident in the refugee camps of West Timor, where he still wields significant power. Indictments of any of the named suspects seem extremely dubious.

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