Suppose the United States goes to war against Iraq and is victorious,
and at the wars end, Saddam Hussein is in the custody of the
U.S. or one of its allies. What would happen to him? Under these
circumstances, it is almost certain Saddam would face some form
of war crimes prosecution. Indeed, recent statements from the Bush
Administration suggest that some thought is already being given
to the different options for trying Hussein and his lieutenants
as part of a post-war settlement.
There
is no shortage of evidence that Hussein is responsible for acts
that are crimes under international law. Indeed, there are few people
in the world against whom a stronger set of charges could be lodged.
Human rights activists have been campaigning for him to be indicted
for some time. But there are several different forms that such a
trial might take and there is a real danger that, in the
aftermath of a US-led invasion of Iraq, a poorly conceived trial
could be counter-productive for the cause of international justice.
What
Might Saddam Be Charged With?
There
is clear prima facie evidence against Saddam Hussein for the three
most serious crimes under international law genocide, crimes
against humanity, and war crimes.
Husseins
1988 "Anfal" campaign against the Iraqi Kurds was described
by Human Rights Watch, after a detailed investigation, as a clear
instance of genocide. The poison gas attack on the north-eastern
Iraqi town of Halabja in February 1988, in which an estimated 5,000
civilians were killed, seems like a textbook case of a war crime,
and a crime against humanity.
In
addition, there is plausible evidence of numerous other war crimes.
During the 1980-88 Iran-Iraq War, there are convincing reports that
Iraq executed several thousand Iranian prisoners of war, and used
poison gas against Iranian troops. During the invasion of Kuwait
in 1990, it is widely documented that Iraqi troops killed civilians,
caused extensive damage to property, and carried out massive looting.
During
the suppression of an uprising in the south of the country in 1991,
it is believed that Saddam authorized the killing of tens of thousands
of civilians. He is known to have used torture and summary execution
extensively against political opponents of the regime.
Finally,
it is possible that Saddam or his generals may use chemical weapons
during the course of a war, if it happens. The use of chemical weapons
("asphyxiating, poisonous or other gases") is a crime
under the statute of the new International Criminal Court, and is
generally held to be a war crime under international customary law.
The first use of chemical and biological weapons is banned under
the 1925 Geneva Protocol, to which Iraq is a party.
Earlier
Attempts to Indict Hussein
Under
the Clinton Administration, the Ambassador for War Crimes Issues,
David Scheffer, compiled a massive dossier of evidence against Hussein
and other Iraqi officials; it includes millions of pages of documents,
many seized by Kurdish fighters in northern Iraq. Meanwhile, further
evidence has been gathered by a London-based organization, INDICT,
by Human Rights Watch, and others.
Until
now, however, these individuals and groups have been unable to win
international support for a special tribunal to indict Hussein.
The lack of international consensus on the issue has largely stemmed
from concern that the move would undermine efforts to get him to
comply with weapons inspections. But in the aftermath of a war aimed
explicitly at removing Hussein from power, this consideration would
obviously disappear. Instead, a trial would appear to be the only
feasible way of deciding his fate since the United States
would hardly want to leave him at large, and international law would
forbid imprisoning or killing him without trial.
Could
Saddam Appear Before the International Criminal Court?
The
most important decision about a possible Iraqi war crimes trial
concerns the form and location of the court before which it would
take place. This question is closely linked to the circumstances
in which the war might end, and the nature of the post-war administration.
One
option that can probably be discounted is that Saddam Hussein or
other Iraqis might appear before the new International Criminal
Court. For one thing, the court only has jurisdiction over crimes
committed after it came into being on July 1st of this year. Thus,
it could not hear cases related to any of the earlier actions carried
out by Hussein or his regime.
In
addition, since Iraq is not a party to the ICC, the court could
only gain jurisdiction over Iraqi actions on Iraqi soil if the United
Nations Security Council referred the case to it. This is possible,
though unlikely. For instance, suppose Iraqi forces use chemical
weapons during the course of the war. In that event, some members
of the Security Council might well favour authorizing the ICC to
try the case. However, the United States would probably oppose this
move and could block Security Council action through the
use of its veto.
That
is because the U.S. would probably prefer that all charges against
Iraqi defendants be heard together without pre-July 1, 2002
crimes being separated from earlier crimes that the ICC could not
try. In addition, the Bush administration would be unlikely to support
any use of the ICC against citizens of a state that has not signed
up to it. . Those states, after all, include not only Iraq, but
also the U.S and the administration has argued vigorously
that the court should not have jurisdiction over U.S. citizens.
The
Options For a Specially Convened Tribunal
So,
as President Bushs spokesman Ari Fleischer recently confirmed,
the most likely course would be for the U.S. to propose the creation
of a special court to try Saddam Hussein and any co-defendants.
Fleischer referred to the example of the tribunal for the former
Yugoslavia, based in The Hague; he said this had that "worked
as a good example and worked well to bring people to justice."
However, more relevant precedents for what the administration seems
to intend might be the Nuremberg and Tokyo trials after World War
II, and a recently created Special Court in Sierra Leone.
In
all these cases, tribunals were based in the countries directly
concerned. Assuming that a war in Iraq ends either with a total
occupation of the country, or the installation of a regime that
is sympathetic to the United States, it is likely that the Bush
administration will push for war crimes trials to be held in Iraq
itself, and with the involvement of the successor government.
The
current Ambassador for War Crimes Issues, Pierre-Richard Prosper,
has spoken strongly in favour of this option. He said during a recent
press conference in London that if there is "a free and democratic
Iraq" after the war then the new government should take the
lead in any process of accountability, because "if the rule
of law is to mean something it is best exercised by the concerned
or affected states."
This
seems to suggest that the administration may be planning something
like the current Special Court in Sierra Leone, or the Serious Crimes
Panels in East Timor. These are known in the trade as "hybrid"
courts, because they are made up of a mixture of local and international
judges.
The
Dangers of Victors Justice
There
are obvious attractions to the idea of a court that is integrated
into the society most affected by the crimes it is to try. However,
the example of East Timor suggests there is also a danger that the
idea of local justice can become an excuse for proceedings that
are poorly funded and have lax standards of professionalism.
More
importantly, a war crimes trial of Saddam Hussein and other Iraqis
could backfire if it seems like a form of victors justice
under the control of Saddams domestic opponents and the occupying
United States. This will be all the more likely if there are credible
accusations of war crimes against the United States or the Iraqi
groups fighting alongside the US against Hussein (as there are,
for instance, against General Dostum of the Northern Alliance, with
whom the United States was allied in Afghanistan).
If
there are to be war crimes trials in Iraq, it seems essential that
they be organized to the highest standards of justice and impartiality,
and that judges from countries who have not been involved in the
war should be included.
How
Many Iraqis Should Go on Trial?
Another
important question concerns the number of defendants to be tried
alongside Saddam Hussein. The Iraqi opposition group INDICT has
compiled evidence against twelve people the so-called "dirty
dozen." These including Hussein himself, his two sons Uday
and Qusay, and Ali Hasan al-Majid, who led the campaign against
the Kurds and is apparently known among Iraqis as "Chemical
Ali."
Although
the evidence against some of these is less detailed than against
Saddam Hussein, the core of this group might well make up the roster
of defendants at a first, part-international trial. As in Germany
after World War II, lower-profile cases could be heard in subsequent
trials, perhaps conducted exclusively by the new Iraqi regime. "The
pattern globally is that midlevel cases can be dealt with by a conventional
domestic system which is accepted and known by the people. It also
serves as an important means of reviving the justice system,"
one unnamed administration official recently told the Los Angeles
Times.
The
number of defendants may also depend in part on the course of the
war, if it happens. One reason why the Bush administration has raised
the prospect of war crimes proceedings at this stage is to discourage
the use of chemical and biological weapons by Iraq during the conflict.
If the leaders of the Iraqi army refuse to carry out Saddams
orders to use weapons of mass destruction, and throw their lot in
with opposition forces, it is likely that the United States will
try to limit the number who end up on trial for previous crimes.
The
Lessons of Previous Tribunals
The
historical record of past war crimes trials offers some guidance
for todays planners. The Nuremberg trial is remembered primarily
for its irrefutable documentation of Nazi atrocities though
prosecutors at the time saw the charge of aggression against Hitlers
henchmen as equally, if not more, important. In the case of Saddam
Hussein, an important goal of any trial would be to establish a
record of his crimes that could not be denied a goal that
would be best served by a convincingly impartial tribunal.
The
Tokyo trials (and other proceedings in the Far East) were less successful.
In part, their failure was attributable to a lingering sense that
they were a political creation of General MacArthurs. Moreover,
many Japanese saw the defendants actions as having been reasonable
military measures, not crimes.
One
lesson history provides is that tribunals work best when they concern
actions that cannot be justified as a legitimate pursuit of the
national interest. Another is that the credibility of war crimes
trials is ultimately linked to the credibility and acceptability
of the regime under which they are held.
In
this respect, it is important to bear in mind that standards in
international justice have changed significantly in the last fifty
years. What seemed acceptable after World War II a military
tribunal, made up of representatives of the victorious powers
would be seen very differently today, when we have witnessed the
creation of genuinely independent courts for the former Yugoslavia
and Rwanda, and the launch of a permanent independent International
Criminal Court.
An
earlier version of this article appeared in the online legal journal
Writ
Related
chapters from Crimes of War: What the Public Should Know:
Biological
Weapons
Chemical
Weapons
Crimes
Against Humanity
Genocide
Environmental
Warfare
Kuwaiti
Oil Wells
Iran-Iraq
War
War
Crimes, Categories of
Related
Links
Iraqi
War Crimes Dossiers in Works
By Robin Wright,
The Los Angeles Times, October 6, 2002
U.S.
Would Seek to Try Hussein for War Crimes
By Peter Slevin
The Washington Post, October 30, 2002
Try
Him for His Crimes
By David J. Scheffer
The Washington Post, September 12, 2002
Indict
Saddam
By Kenneth Roth
The Wall Street Journal, March 22, 2002
The Case for Justice in Iraq
Speech by David J. Scheffer, then Ambassador at Large for War Crimes
Issues
September 18, 2000
INDICT
Bringing Iraqi War Criminals to Justice
Genocide
in Iraq
Human Rights Watch Report, July 1993
Press
Briefing by Ari Fleischer
Including Comments on War Crimes Tribunals
October 11, 2002
Press Conference by Pierre-Richard Prosper
London, September 24, 2002
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