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"The Bolivarian Movement is not an electoral force. Its aim is to create an insurrectionary movement because the FARC cannot seize power alone by military means. Our efforts will not succeed if this just ends up being two armies, the FARC and the government security forces, fighting each other," said Carlos Antonio Lozada, former commander of the FARC’s urban militias in Bogotá and now member of the rebel negotiating team.

The FARC insists that, unlike the M-19 insurgent group, they will never disarm. But the FARC are not the only ones looking more to the battlefield than the peace table. In addition to signing up greater numbers of professional, volunteer soldiers instead of raw conscripts, and purchasing helicopters and other matériel, the military is currently completing at least five major garrisons on the strategic approaches to Bogotá.

The outposts, manned by battalion-strength units, will ultimately be used as "mooring points" to launch search-and-destroy missions into rebel strongholds. The most significant of these bases is in Sumapaz, a region that runs down the spine of the eastern cordillera of the Andes, through five provinces and into the poor southern neighborhoods of the capital. The area has long been used as a logistics route by the rebels and a major thoroughfare for spiriting kidnap victims out of Bogotá.

FARC supreme commander Manuel Marulanda has long predicted the most decisive battles of Colombia’s war will be fought in Sumapaz’s rugged mountains and high plains that rise above 12,000 feet.

"If Bogotá falls then the country falls. By building this base in Sumapaz we may set back the FARC plan by eight or 10 years," said Col. Enrique Cotes, commander of the army’s Sumapaz task force in a February interview.

Few ordinary Colombians believe there is any real prospect of peace in the short term. Most think the war will escalate before the combatants decide they must seek a genuine political solution to the conflict.

But even if, against the odds, rebel and paramilitary rifles do fall silent any time soon, one of the impoverished inhabitants of Nelson Mandela City, the Cartagena shantytown, warned the conflict would not be over.

"The peace talks mean nothing," said Lázaro Pérez, "Only when the government begins to help the poor will the war finish."


Related Articles:
Into the Abyss: The Paramilitary Political Objective in Colombia
Vanishing Act? The Mysterious Disappearance of Carlos Castaño
A Forum on U.S. Involvement in Colombia

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Sidebar:
Child Soldiers: Trapped in Poverty, Captives of the War
By Karl Penhaul